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Dario Amodei — "We are near the end of the exponential"
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Elon Musk — "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”
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Adam Marblestone — AI is missing something fundamental about the brain
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An audio version of my blog post, Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025)
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Sarah Paine — Why Russia Lost the Cold War
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Ilya Sutskever — We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research
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Satya Nadella — How Microsoft is preparing for AGI
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Sarah Paine — How Russia sabotaged China's rise
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Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away
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Nick Lane – Life as we know it is chemically inevitable
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Some thoughts on the Sutton interview
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Richard Sutton – Father of RL thinks LLMs are a dead-end
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Fully autonomous robots are much closer than you think – Sergey Levine
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How Hitler almost starved Britain – Sarah Paine
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Evolution designed us to die fast; we can change that — Jacob Kimmel
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China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer
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Artificial meat is harder than artificial intelligence — Lewis Bollard
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Sarah Paine — How Imperial Japan defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China
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Stephen Kotkin — How Stalin became the most powerful dictator in history
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Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner
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A billion years of evolution in a single afternoon — George Church
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Why China's manufacturing economy is dominating — Arthur Kroeber
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"China is digging out of a crisis. And America’s luck is wearing thin." — Ken Rogoff
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Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
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Is RL + LLMs enough for AGI? — Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken
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What will automated firms look like?
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Mark Zuckerberg — AI will write most Meta code in 18 months
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Why Rome actually fell: plagues, slavery, & ice age — Kyle Harper
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AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu
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AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo
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AMA: career advice given AGI, how I research ft. Sholto & Trenton
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Joseph Henrich — Humans defeated smarter species with cultural evolution
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Notes on China
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Satya Nadella — Microsoft’s AGI plan & quantum breakthrough
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Jeff Dean & Noam Shazeer — 25 years at Google: from PageRank to AGI
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Sarah Paine — How Mao conquered China (lecture & interview)
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Sarah Paine — Why Japan lost WWII (lecture & interview)
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Sarah Paine — The war for India (lecture & interview)
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Tyler Cowen — The #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans
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Adam Brown — Bubble universes, space elevators, & AdS/CFT
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Gwern — Anonymous writer who predicted AI trajectory on $12K/year salary
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@Asianometry & Dylan Patel — How the semiconductor industry actually works
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Daniel Yergin — Oil destroyed Hitler, fracking destroyed Putin
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David Reich — How one small tribe conquered the world 70,000 years ago
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Joe Carlsmith — Preventing an AI takeover
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Patrick McKenzie — Money laundering, big tech censorship, SBF & Japan
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Tony Blair — Why political leaders keep failing at major change
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Francois Chollet — Why the biggest AI models can't solve simple puzzles
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Leopold Aschenbrenner — 2027 AGI, China/US super-intelligence race, & the return of history
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John Schulman (OpenAI Cofounder) — Reasoning, RLHF, & plan for 2027 AGI
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Mark Zuckerberg — Llama 3, $10B models, Caesar Augustus, & 1 GW datacenters
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Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken — How LLMs actually think
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Demis Hassabis — Scaling, superhuman AIs, AlphaZero atop LLMs, AlphaFold
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Patrick Collison — Why Silicon Valley's most talented should leave
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Tyler Cowen — Hayek, Keynes, & Smith on AI, animal spirits, anarchy, & growth
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Lessons from The Years of Lyndon Johnson by Robert Caro [Narration]
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Will scaling work? [Narration]
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Jung Chang (Wild Swans author) — Living through history's largest man-made famine
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Andrew Roberts — Why Hitler lost WWII, Churchill as applied historian, & Napoleon as startup founder
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Dominic Cummings - COVID, Brexit, & Fixing Western Governance
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Paul Christiano — Preventing an AI takeover
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Shane Legg (DeepMind Founder) — 2028 AGI, superhuman alignment, new architectures
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Grant Sanderson (@3blue1brown) — Past, present, & future of mathematics
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Sarah C. M. Paine — Why dictators keep making the same fatal mistake
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Dario Amodei (Anthropic CEO) — The hidden pattern behind every AI breakthrough
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Andy Matuschak — The reason most learning tools fail
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Carl Shulman (Pt 2) — AI Takeover, bio & cyber attacks, detecting deception, & humanity's far future
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Carl Shulman (Pt 1) — Intelligence explosion, primate evolution, robot doublings, & alignment
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Richard Rhodes — The making of the atomic bomb
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Eliezer Yudkowsky — Why AI will kill us, aligning LLMs, nature of intelligence, SciFi, & rationality
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Ilya Sutskever (OpenAI Chief Scientist) — Why next-token prediction could surpass human intelligence
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Nat Friedman (Github CEO) — Reading ancient scrolls, open source, & AI
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Brett Harrison — FTX US former president speaks out
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Marc Andreessen — AI, crypto, 1000 Elon Musks, regrets, vulnerabilities, & managerial revolution
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Garett Jones — Immigration, national IQ, & less democracy
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Lars Doucet — Progress, poverty, Georgism, & why rent is too damn high
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Holden Karnofsky — History's most important century
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Bethany McLean — Enron, FTX, 2008, Musk, frauds, & visionaries
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Nadia Asparouhova — Tech elites, democracy, open source, & philanthropy
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Byrne Hobart - FTX, Drugs, Twitter, Taiwan, & Monasticism
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Edward Glaeser - Cities, Terrorism, Housing, & Remote Work
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Kenneth T. Jackson - Robert Moses, Hero of New York?
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Brian Potter - Future of Construction, Ugly Modernism, & Environmental Review
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Bryan Caplan - Feminists, Billionaires, and Demagogues
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Tyler Cowen - Talent, Collapse, & Pessimism of Sex
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Charles C. Mann - Americas Before Columbus & Scientific Wizardry
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Austin Vernon - Energy Superabundance, Starship Missiles, & Finding Alpha
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Steve Hsu - Intelligence, Embryo Selection, & The Future of Humanity
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Will MacAskill - Longtermism, Altruism, History, & Technology
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Joseph Carlsmith - Utopia, AI, & Infinite Ethics
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Fin Moorhouse - Longtermism, Space, & Entrepreneurship
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Alexander Mikaberidze - Napoleon, War, Progress, and Global Order
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Sam Bankman-Fried - Crypto, Altruism, and Leadership
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Agustin Lebron - Trading, Crypto, and Adverse Selection
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Ananyo Bhattacharya - John von Neumann, Jewish Genius, and Nuclear War
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Stephen Grugett (Manifold Markets Founder) - Predictions Markets & Revolutionizing Governance
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Pradyu Prasad - Imperial Japan, the God Emperor, and Militarization in the Modern World
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Razib Khan - Genomics, Intelligence, and The Church of Science
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Jimmy Soni - Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, and the Paypal Mafia
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Bryan Caplan - Discrimination, Poverty, & Mental Illness
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